PredictionMarkt
PredictionMarkt
When will the first commercial spaceflight take place?

Fixed-price outcome bundle

Fixed price
100%
∞ x 0.001 ETH
buy
Fixed price
100%
0.001 ETH
sell

Fixed-price outcome bundle consisting of one share of each outcome in this market can be purchased from or sold to PredictionMarkt at any time.

The price of each bundle is 0.001 ETH.

Because only one market outcome is possible, the total payoff from holding one outcome bundle until the market closes is 0.001 ETH.

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Market tickerCOMMSPACEFLIGHT
CurrencyEthereum (ETH)
Market typecategorical
Start date2018-02-18
Close date2020-01-01
CurrencyDaily volumeMarket CapShare Price
Ethereum0 ETH0.13 ETH0 — 0.001 ETH
PredictionToken0 PMT0 PMT0 — 100 PMT

Outcome determination

The market outcome will be determined by the date when a commercial space vehicle, carrying human passengers (even if test pilots), successfully travels to an altitude above 100 km and returns safely to the Earth, as reported by a credible news outlet.

Market liquidation

Once the outcome is determined, the market closes for up to 48 hours during which it is possible to dispute the outcome. After that all the shares are liquidated and automatically converted to money.

The liquidation value of the shares which represent the actual outcome of this market will be 100%. All the other shares will have no value.

Dispute rules

Please contact [email protected] for any disputes.

The decisions and determinations about the market outcomes shall be at PredictionMarkt’s sole discretion and shall be final.