Will the United States recognize Catalan independence by June 30, 2018?

Fixed-price outcome bundle

Fixed price
∞ x 0.001 ETH
Fixed price
0.001 ETH

Fixed-price outcome bundle consisting of one share of each outcome in this market can be purchased from or sold to PredictionMarkt at any time.

The price of each bundle is 0.001 ETH.

Because only one market outcome is possible, the total payoff from holding one outcome bundle until the market closes is 0.001 ETH.

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Market tickerCATALAN.063018
CurrencyEthereum (ETH)
Market typebinary
Start date2018-04-02
Close date2018-06-30
CurrencyDaily volumeMarket CapShare Price
Ethereum0 ETH0.06 ETH0 — 0.001 ETH
PredictionToken0 PMT0 PMT0 — 100 PMT

Outcome determination

The market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States recognizes Catalonia as an independent state, according to the U.S. State Department's online roster of Independent States in the World on or before June 30, 2018.

The outcome will be determined via or other official publication or statement by the State Department, White House or an authorized representative thereof.

The independent state may be identified by any name as long as it's representing part or all of the autonomous region of Spain known as Catalonia.

Market liquidation

Once the outcome is determined, the market closes for up to 48 hours during which it is possible to dispute the outcome. After that all the shares are liquidated and automatically converted to money.

The liquidation value of the shares which represent the actual outcome of this market will be 100%. All the other shares will have no value.

Dispute rules

Please contact conci[email protected] for any disputes.

The decisions and determinations about the market outcomes shall be at PredictionMarkt’s sole discretion and shall be final.