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When will the first break-even nuclear fusion process be achieved?

Other
45 – 49%
Trade
By the end of 2022
26 – 30%
Trade
By the end of 2020
13 – 17%
Trade
Outcome BundleTrade

The market outcome will be determined by the date when a first engineering break-even nuclear fusion is achieved using recirculation as reported by a credible news outlet. The reactor does not need to be commercial nor need to be continuously operating. Engineering breakeven considers the need to extract the energy from the reactor, turn that into electrical energy, and feed that back into the heating system.

When the market closes, shares for the correct prediction will be redeemed at 100% of the price, all the other shares will have no value.
Market tickerFUSIONBREAKEVEN
Market typecategorical
Start date2018-02-18
Close date2023-01-01
CurrencyDaily volumeMarket CapShare Price
Ethereum0 ETH0 ETH0 — 0.001 ETH
PredictionToken0 PMT0 PMT0 — 100 PMT

Outcome determination

The market outcome will be determined by the date when a first engineering break-even nuclear fusion is achieved using recirculation as reported by a credible news outlet. The reactor does not need to be commercial nor need to be continuously operating. Engineering breakeven considers the need to extract the energy from the reactor, turn that into electrical energy, and feed that back into the heating system.

Market liquidation

Once the outcome is determined, the market closes for up to 48 hours during which it is possible to dispute the outcome. After that all the shares are liquidated and automatically converted to money.

The liquidation value of the shares which represent the actual outcome of this market will be 100%. All the other shares will have no value.

Dispute rules

Please contact [email protected] for any disputes.

The decisions and determinations about the market outcomes shall be at PredictionMarkt’s sole discretion and shall be final.