PredictionMarkt
PredictionMarkt

When will 8-digit numbers be factored by quantum computers for the first time?

By the end of 2020
40%
Trade
By the end of 2019
31 – 34%
Trade
Other
27 – 30%
Trade
Outcome BundleTrade

The market outcome will be determined by the date when the largest number factored by the quantum computer exceeds 10000000 as reported by a credible news outlet or by a credible scientific paper.

When the market closes, shares for the correct prediction will be redeemed at 100% of the price, all the other shares will have no value.
Market tickerQUANTUM8
Market typecategorical
Start date2018-02-18
Close date2021-01-01
CurrencyDaily volumeMarket CapShare Price
Ethereum0 ETH0.05 ETH0 — 0.001 ETH
PredictionToken0 PMT0 PMT0 — 100 PMT

Outcome determination

The market outcome will be determined by the date when the largest number factored by the quantum computer exceeds 10000000 as reported by a credible news outlet or by a credible scientific paper.

Market liquidation

Once the outcome is determined, the market closes for up to 48 hours during which it is possible to dispute the outcome. After that all the shares are liquidated and automatically converted to money.

The liquidation value of the shares which represent the actual outcome of this market will be 100%. All the other shares will have no value.

Dispute rules

Please contact [email protected] for any disputes.

The decisions and determinations about the market outcomes shall be at PredictionMarkt’s sole discretion and shall be final.